Devoted to political news and analysis, with a focus on election predictions and commentary. Began as an electoral vote prediction blog for the 2008 election, exactly projecting the popular vote percentages. Since then, I have assembled one of the best track records in predicting elections of all kinds that you will find on the web.
Tuesday, November 5, 2013
Early Exit Polls in Virginia Mirror My Projection
The early exit polling shows a 50-43-7 split for McAulife, in line with my projection. These polls clearly have a margin of error and sometimes suffer from sampling error, but I tend to believe them since they mirror all the pre-election data. If Sarvis holds on to 7%, that will be impressive for an independent / libertarian candidate, although it probably says more about disgust with the major party choices as anything else.
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