Brief Election Update
I'm not expecting a lot of big shifts when I do my next full publication of numbers. Polling this week is tracking fairly close to my projection from the weekend:
Most of the close races are holding to form (no big movement from my last post) -- California, Washington, Kentucky, West Virginia and Wisconsin all seem to be holding to form, although California and Washington may be getting a little tighter.
Alaska continues to fascinate, with a new poll showing write-in Murkowski dead even with GOP nominee Joe Miller. Conventional wisdom would still favor a Miller victory, but given the high level of publicity around this one, it's not completely outside the realm of possibility for Murkowski to pull off a second-in-history write-in Senate campaign. For you history buffs, the only successful write-in Senate candidacy was Strom Thurmond in South Carolina in the 1940s, which, a friend of mine from South Carolina likes to point out, proves once and for all that a majority of South Carolinians CAN, in fact, write.
Pennsylvania is suddenly back on my radar, with a couple of new polls showing Joe Sestak with a surprising sudden lead, albeit a very marginal one. This race had looked dead for the Dems until recently. A GOP Senate without a Toomey win is almost unimaginable. The math just doesn't work.
How Can So Many Politicians Be So Dumb?
This year has been an outright gaffe-fest on both sides of the aisle. Some of my favorites:
Democrat Dick Blumenthal in Connecticut claiming he served in Vietnam, when it was an easily verifiable fact that he did not.
Republican Christine O'Donnell not knowing what the First Amendment said was a real hoot. Not knowing with the 14th Amendment was was almost as funny.
Democrat Harry Reid's quote about President Obama "having no negro dialect" would be a riot if it weren't so sad.
Republican Rand Paul's "I support but oppose" the Civil Rights Act of 1964 was the best libertarian dance routine I've seen in a while.
Republican Sharron Angle's support of prohibition is great...especially for a candidate from a state whose entire population is in Reno and Las Vegas.
And that's before you get into the House and look at the candidates that dress up as Nazis. Oh what a year.
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