Current Intrade odds:
Romney to Win: 42%
Ron Paul to Win: 28%
Rick Santorum to Win: 30%
I guess the betting public gives Ron Paul much better odds than I do.
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Devoted to political news and analysis, with a focus on election predictions and commentary. Began as an electoral vote prediction blog for the 2008 election, exactly projecting the popular vote percentages. Since then, I have assembled one of the best track records in predicting elections of all kinds that you will find on the web.
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2012
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January
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- Is There Any Path Forward for Anyone But Romney Af...
- Do Newts Bounce Like Dead Cats?
- Updated Delegate Counts
- President Obama's Scorecard - After 3 Years, The E...
- The Florida Firewall
- All Signs Point Towards a Gingrich Win and a Conti...
- And Then There Were 4....
- I Quit a Cush Job in Bejing for This?
- Obama versus Romney - The Big 2012 Electoral Map
- New Hampshire Goes According to Form
- Romney Survives 2 Debates Unscathed, Appears Inevi...
- 2012 and the Fractures in the GOP, In the Real Wor...
- What Last Nights Results Mean, The Rick Perry Rope...
- It's Going to Be Too Close to Call for a While
- Returns Continue to Track a Close Race
- Big Error on CNN Poll
- A Romney Wall to the East, a Santorum/Paul Checker...
- Does the Firmness of Ron Paul's Support Fortell a ...
- Neck and Neck in the Early Going
- Full Entrance Poll Results Shows Narrow Paul Lead
- Santorum Betting Odds Crashing
- Early Arrival Poll: Romney and Paul Out Front
- Gamblers Give Ron Paul More Credit
- No Surprises in the Top 3
- Tonight Is The Night
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January
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