Tuesday, November 6, 2012

First Battleground Call

President Obama wins Michigan right out of the chute.  Not good news for Romney.  Intrade is up to 74% / 26%.  Michigan was not a state that I expected to be a tipping point state this year, but it was one where the once-native-son Romney had hoped to make hay.

It doesn't change Romney's primary path to victory but it cuts out one set of plausible alternative strategies.

Colorado is dead even in the exit polls.  Arizona is at 52-46%.  Minnesota is a tighter-than-expected 50-47%, closer than expected, so some good news for Romney there.

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