Tuesday, November 3, 2009

Christie Leads Early

4% of the votes counted in New Jersey and Republican Chris Christie leads Democrat Jon Corzine and Independent Chris Daggett by 55% to 38% to 6% respectively (1% for all other candidates.) I still can't get to county-by-county results, so I can't tell you what this means.

Corzine has plummeted the past hour in online betting, falling from a 3:2 favorite a couple of hours ago to a 3:2 dog in trading right now. These wild swings in one day indicate to me that betters may be chasing ghosts more than results, although it may imply that some people have been able to analyze the returns so far and that it doesn't look favorable to Corzine.

Stay tuned.

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